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Special Topics in Trend Forecasting Based on Artificial Intelligence
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371-380

Short-term traffic flow prediction of city intersection based on deep temporal clustering

Guo Jian1
Zheng Jiaoling1
Qiao Shaojie1
Deng Hongyao2
Sun Jigang2
Li Xinjia2
1. School of Software Engineering, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, China
2. Sichuan Efang Intelligence Technology Co. , Ltd. , Chengdu 610000, China

Abstract

Currently, deep learning-based traffic flow prediction methods have deficiencies. Firstly, the prediction model based on graph convolutional network uses a simplified road network topology, ignores the actual traffic organization information, and affects the prediction accuracy. Secondly, the clustering-based prediction model does not consider the regional and temporal similarity of traffic flow and fails to effectively utilize spatio-temporal patterns, resulting in limited enhancement of prediction by clustering results. In addition, overly large training samples increases the training and prediction time, affecting real-time performance. In order to solve the above problems, this paper proposed a deep temporal clustering traffic flow prediction(DTCTFP) model based on deep temporal clustering for short-term traffic flow prediction at urban chokepoints. Firstly, the method constructed the road network topology containing actual traffic organization information and used a graph convolutional network to mine the spatio-temporal characteristics between chokepoints. Secondly, it introduced improved dynamic temporal regularization and shortest path analysis methods to classify similar traffic flow objects into the same cluster, allowing the model to make full use of feature information such as flow rate, time, and location to improve prediction accuracy. Finally, it used a cluster-based recurrent neural network for prediction to enhance the real-time and computational efficiency of the model. Using Chongqing Dadukou traffic data, experiments show that the model reduces MAE, RMSE, and MAPE by 15.02%, 10.72%, and 10.98% on average compared to the latest benchmark. The ablation test also confirms a 14.5% improvement in prediction accuracy with the proposed clustering method.

Foundation Support

香港中文大学(深圳)开放课题广东省大数据计算基础理论与方法重点实验室开放课题基金资助项目(B10120210117-OF02)
云南省智能系统与计算重点实验室开放课题(ISC22Y02)
四川省科技计划重点研发项目(2023YFG0027)

Publish Information

DOI: 10.19734/j.issn.1001-3695.2024.07.0284
Publish at: Application Research of Computers Printed Article, Vol. 42, 2025 No. 2
Section: Special Topics in Trend Forecasting Based on Artificial Intelligence
Pages: 371-380
Serial Number: 1001-3695(2025)02-007-0371-10

Publish History

[2025-02-05] Printed Article

Cite This Article

郭健, 郑皎凌, 乔少杰, 等. 基于深度时序聚类的城市卡口短时交通流量预测 [J]. 计算机应用研究, 2025, 42 (2): 371-380. (Guo Jian, Zheng Jiaoling, Qiao Shaojie, et al. Short-term traffic flow prediction of city intersection based on deep temporal clustering [J]. Application Research of Computers, 2025, 42 (2): 371-380. )

About the Journal

  • Application Research of Computers Monthly Journal
  • Journal ID ISSN 1001-3695
    CN  51-1196/TP

Application Research of Computers, founded in 1984, is an academic journal of computing technology sponsored by Sichuan Institute of Computer Sciences under the Science and Technology Department of Sichuan Province.

Aiming at the urgently needed cutting-edge technology in this discipline, Application Research of Computers reflects the mainstream technology, hot technology and the latest development trend of computer application research at home and abroad in a timely manner. The main contents of the journal include high-level academic papers in this discipline, the latest scientific research results and major application results. The contents of the columns involve new theories of computer discipline, basic computer theory, algorithm theory research, algorithm design and analysis, blockchain technology, system software and software engineering technology, pattern recognition and artificial intelligence, architecture, advanced computing, parallel processing, database technology, computer network and communication technology, information security technology, computer image graphics and its latest hot application technology.

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